Jupiler Pro League Prediction & Preview: Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht – 24/5/2026

In the leafy confines of Brussels at Stade Joseph Mariën, Union St. Gilloise prepares to host Anderlecht in a Jupiler Pro League clash on May 24, 2026. With Champions League qualification secured, Union St. Gilloise will look to bolster their record against an Anderlecht side eyeing Europa League spots. However, Anderlecht’s recent form suggests they might be more familiar with the concept of hospitality, particularly when away from home.

22.05.2026 00:05
BelgiumJupiler Pro League|24.05.2026
Union St. Gilloise
79%
VS
Anderlecht
7%
79%
14%
7%
Union St. GilloiseDraw 14%Anderlecht
🏆
Prediction
Union St. Gilloise @ 1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.74
53% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.86
45% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Union St. Gilloise Win @ 1.47
Union St. Gilloise boasts a formidable home record with 17 wins out of 19 matches, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game at home. Anderlecht, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, with 9 losses in 19 away matches. The xG model predicts a significant edge for Union St. Gilloise.
💡 Despite Anderlecht's flair for scoring, their defense seems to have adopted a 'generous' approach, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per away game, making Union St. Gilloise's home prowess even more daunting.

In the leafy confines of Brussels at Stade Joseph Mariën, Union St. Gilloise prepares to host Anderlecht in a Jupiler Pro League clash on May 24, 2026. With Champions League qualification secured, Union St. Gilloise will look to bolster their record against an Anderlecht side eyeing Europa League spots. However, Anderlecht's recent form suggests they might be more familiar with the concept of hospitality, particularly when away from home.

📊 Team Statistics
Union St. Gilloise
DLWWL
5
Draws
2
Losses
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded0.8
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets9
Anderlecht
WDLDL
4
Draws
10
Losses
Avg Scored1.65
Avg Conceded1.75
Over 2.565%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets2
🏟️
Venue
Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
9,400 capacity · Grass
⭐ Union St. Gilloise — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
C. VanhoutteMidfielder017.38512
C. BurgessDefender237.323313
A. KhalailiAttacker257.183659
K. Mac AllisterDefender117.133211
A. ZorganeMidfielder447.023536
⭐ Anderlecht — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
N. AnguloMidfielder657.262246
T. HazardMidfielder1377.103477
C. CoosemansGoalkeeper007.01372
B. VroninksDefender006.9011
L. AugustinssonDefender036.892629
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.11
Double Chance X22.6
Double Chance 121.21
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.1

Form & Key Players

Union St. Gilloise's recent form is somewhat of a mixed bag, yet they have shown resilience with key players like A. Zorgane contributing 4 goals and 4 assists. Anderlecht's T. Hazard, with 13 goals and 7 assists, remains their primary threat. However, Anderlecht's defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 35 goals in their last 20 matches. Union's recent triumphs over Anderlecht further highlight their upper hand, scoring a combined 6 goals in their last two meetings.

 

Match Prediction

With Union St. Gilloise's superior home form and Anderlecht's charitable defense, the prediction leans heavily towards a home win, priced at odds of 1.47. The expected goals model, predicting 2.73 for Union and a mere 0.49 for Anderlecht, suggests a likely 2-0 scoreline. While Anderlecht may look to T. Hazard for inspiration, it's Union's defense and midfield that seem poised to dictate the tempo, leaving little room for surprises.

Home Ground Advantage

Union St. Gilloise enjoys a significant home advantage, having won 17 out of 19 matches in their own backyard this season. Their average of 1.6 goals scored per home game, coupled with a stingy average of 0.7 goals conceded, underscores their fortress-like status. Anderlecht, conversely, has found away days less than fruitful, with just 5 wins and a tendency to leak goals at an average of 1.82 per match. The grass surface at Stade Joseph Mariën seems to be as unfriendly to visitors as it is familiar to the hosts.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Union St. Gilloise is the predicted winner with a 79% probability. Their impressive home record, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game, combined with Anderlecht's struggles on the road, where they concede 1.82 goals on average, make them the favorites.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The odds for Over 2.5 goals are 1.74. Given the expected goals total of 3.22 and Union's average of 1.6 goals scored at home, combined with Anderlecht's defensive woes, a recommendation for Over 2.5 goals seems reasonable.
3
What is Anderlecht's away form this season?
Anderlecht's last five away results are L, D, L, W, L. They have won 5, drawn 5, and lost 9 of their away matches, scoring an average of 1.45 goals per away game while conceding 1.82 on average.
4
What is the Draw No Bet option for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The Draw No Bet for Union St. Gilloise is priced at 1.20, while for Anderlecht it is 5.00. Given Union's strong home performance, the Draw No Bet on Union offers a safer value compared to a straight win bet.
5
Are there injury concerns for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Both teams appear to be fit with no significant injuries or suspensions reported. This full-strength availability should see both squads fielding their best line-ups, although it does little to change the prediction.

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