NiceDraw 29%Saint Etienne
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
50% probability
Historically, Nice has dominated this matchup,
winning 6 of the last 10 meetings. However, Nice's recent form is concerning, with a declining trend and a struggle to
score goals consistently. Saint Etienne, despite recent setbacks, has a superior overall record and a more consistent scoring ability, giving them the edge.
💡 Nice's home struggles are evident in their average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per match, which could be exploited by Saint Etienne's more robust attack.
As Nice prepares to host Saint Etienne at the Allianz Riviera in Nice, the stakes couldn't be higher. Nice finds themselves precariously close to the relegation zone, sitting 16th in the league with just 32 points. Their current form is a cause for concern, as they look to avoid being dragged further into the relegation playoff battle. Saint Etienne, although lacking specific league standings data, enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results but a more potent attack. Historically, Nice has had the upper hand in this matchup, but recent form may tell a different story.
Avg Scored0.9
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets9
๐๏ธVenue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
35,624 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Nice โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diouf | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Clauss | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.99 | 30 | 66 |
| S. Diop | Midfielder | 8 | 2 | 6.92 | 33 | 35 |
| K. Peprah Oppong | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.82 | 29 | 6 |
| H. Boudaoui | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.82 | 25 | 17 |
โญ Saint Etienne โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bernauer | Defender | 0 | 0 | 8.20 | 1 | 0 |
| G. Larsonneur | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Z. Davitashvili | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 |
| A. Kantรฉ | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Le Cardinal | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
Match Verdict
Given the current form and historical context, Saint Etienne appears to have the upper hand. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and score regularly against Nice's leaky defense suggests they could edge this encounter. The odds for Saint Etienne to win are priced at 2.80, reflecting a balanced contest. However, given Nice's struggles and Saint Etienne's superior recent record, backing an away win offers value. The tactical clash will hinge on Saint Etienne's ability to exploit Nice's defensive lapses, with key players like Davitashvili playing a crucial role.
Tactical Breakdown
Both teams favor a 4-2-3-1 formation, setting the stage for a tactical battle in midfield. For Nice, the creativity of J. Clauss, who has provided 6 assists this season, will be crucial in breaking down the opposition's defense. Meanwhile, S. Diop's 8 goals make him a constant threat. Saint Etienne's Z. Davitashvili, with a key pass rate that stands out, will look to exploit gaps in Nice's defense. The midfield battle could be pivotal, with each side looking to control possession and dictate the game's tempo. Nice's defensive frailties, especially at home, may be tested by Saint Etienne's more dynamic approach.
Statistical Edge
Statistically, Nice has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per home match. Their attack, averaging 1.11 goals at home, has been inconsistent, failing to score in 6 home games this season. In contrast, Saint Etienne has averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1 conceded per away match, showcasing a more balanced approach. Clean sheets have been a forte for Saint Etienne, with 9 in their last 20 matches, indicating a strong defensive setup. Goal-timing reveals Nice is more potent in the first half, while Saint Etienne tends to strike in the second half, potentially impacting the match dynamics.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
The
odds are Nice 2.86, Draw 3.45, and Saint Etienne 2.80. The implied probability for a Saint Etienne
win is approximately 35.71%, which offers value compared to the model's 36% probability.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
The model's most likely
score is 1-1, but the predicted outcome leans towards a 2-1 victory for Saint Etienne, supported by their xG of 1.26 compared to Nice's 1.06.
3
What is the best
bet for Nice vs Saint Etienne?
The best
bet is Saint Etienne to
win, priced at 2.80. This represents a value edge as the model probability is closely aligned with the implied
odds probability, suggesting a slight advantage for Saint Etienne.
4
What is Saint Etienne's away form this season?
In their last 5 away matches, Saint Etienne has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2. They have scored an average of 0.89 goals per away match while conceding 1 goal on average.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about Nice vs Saint Etienne?
In the last 10 meetings, Nice has won 6, drawn 2, and Saint Etienne has won 2. The average goals per meeting is 3.4, with 70% of these matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a historically high-scoring fixture.