Saint EtienneDraw 25%Nice
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
49% probability
Saint Etienne's superior home form and Nice's relegation struggle create value for a home
win. The model's probability of 54% compared to the implied
odds suggests an edge.
💡 Saint Etienne's defensive solidity at home, conceding only 0.73 goals on average, offers a strong base against a Nice side struggling to find the net.
The match between Saint Etienne and Nice on 22 May 2026 in Ligue 1 presents an intriguing betting opportunity. With Nice languishing near the relegation zone, Saint Etienne at home is favored by both form and statistics. The market's focus will be on whether Saint Etienne can leverage their strong home performances to secure a win. Nice, while struggling, will look to upset the odds. Understanding each team's recent performances and historical matchups is key to finding value in this fixture.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets9
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
โญ Saint Etienne โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bernauer | Defender | 0 | 0 | 8.20 | 1 | 0 |
| G. Larsonneur | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Z. Davitashvili | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 |
| A. Kantรฉ | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Le Cardinal | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
โญ Nice โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diouf | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Clauss | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.99 | 30 | 66 |
| S. Diop | Midfielder | 8 | 2 | 6.92 | 33 | 35 |
| K. Peprah Oppong | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.82 | 29 | 6 |
| H. Boudaoui | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.82 | 25 | 17 |
Form & Season Statistics
Saint Etienne's recent form includes a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their season statistics reveal a home advantage, with 1.73 goals scored per game and 0.73 conceded. Notably, they've kept nine clean sheets over their last 20 matches. In contrast, Nice's last five outings have seen them win once, draw three times, and lose once. Their average goals scored stands at 1.05 per game, with a higher concession rate of 1.4. With only two clean sheets away, their defense remains a concern. Both teams typically line up in a 4-2-3-1, but Saint Etienne's increased consistency at home gives them an edge.
Head-to-Head History
Historically, Nice has dominated this matchup, winning six of the last ten encounters. The average goal count in these fixtures is 3.4, with 70% of matches going over 2.5 goals. Nice's recent 2-1 victory in December 2025 and their 8-0 thrashing in September 2024 highlight their potential to score heavily against Saint Etienne. However, Saint Etienne has managed two wins, suggesting they can challenge at home. The venue has seen varied results, but the high goal average indicates a potentially open game.
Prediction & Best Bet
The prediction favors a Saint Etienne win, supported by their home form and Nice's struggles near the bottom of the table. The model assigns a 54% probability to a Saint Etienne victory, yielding value against implied market probabilities. While Nice has shown resilience with a stable form, their away performance, conceding an average of one goal per game, weakens their case. A Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Saint Etienne could provide additional safety, but the home win remains the best value at odds of 1.85.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Saint Etienne vs Nice?
The xG total of 2.18 and a 70% Over 2.5 rate in H2H suggest potential for goals, but the over 2.5 market at
odds of 2.05 offers limited value due to higher defensive stats.
2
What is Saint Etienne's recent form?
Saint Etienne's last five results are WWLLL, scoring eight and conceding six. At home, they've won 1, scored 1.73 on average, and kept 9 clean sheets. Their form is declining.
3
What does the head-to-head record say about Saint Etienne vs Nice?
In the last 10 H2H, Saint Etienne has 2
wins, 2 draws, and Nice has 6
wins. The average goals per meeting is 3.4 with 70% going over 2.5, indicating Nice's historical dominance.
4
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Saint Etienne vs Nice?
The Draw No
Bet option returns the stake if it's a draw. Saint Etienne's DNB
odds at 1.40 provide a safer alternative to the straight
win with lower risk.
5
Are there injury concerns for Saint Etienne vs Nice?
No significant injuries are reported for either
team. Both squads appear fit, ensuring full-strength lineups that could influence the match outcome positively for bettors.