Premier League Battle: Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Team News: 1/5/2026

EnglandPremier League|01.05.2026
Leeds
67%
VS
Burnley
11%
67%
22%
11%
LeedsDraw 22%Burnley
🏆
Prediction
Leeds @ 1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.67
45% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.85
47% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Double Chance 1X @ 1.08
Leeds are on an upward trend. Burnley struggle away, conceding heavily. Leeds' recent home form is strong. Odds favor Leeds at 1.39.
💡 Leeds' defense at home is tight, conceding just 0.89 goals on average. Burnley's away scoring issues make a Leeds clean sheet likely.

Leeds face Burnley at Elland Road in West Yorkshire. Crucial points are at stake. Leeds aim to solidify safety, while Burnley fights relegation. Leeds holds the momentum with recent victories. Burnley, languishing at the bottom, needs a miracle.

📊 Team Statistics
Leeds
LDWWW
7
Draws
5
Losses
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.550%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets5
Burnley
LLLLD
7
Draws
11
Losses
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.9
Over 2.550%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets2
🏟️
Venue
Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
40,204 capacity · Grass
⭐ Leeds — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
E. AmpaduMidfielder117.153118
A. StachMidfielder437.132658
K. DarlowGoalkeeper006.97180
S. LongstaffMidfielder226.912023
P. StruijkDefender016.863112
⭐ Burnley — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
M. DúbravkaGoalkeeper007.00340
J. CullenMidfielder226.911813
J. Ward-ProwseMidfielder016.83910
J. AnthonyMidfielder716.823334
Z. FlemmingMidfielder906.81258
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.08
Double Chance X22.85
Double Chance 121.15
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2

Form Comparison

Leeds are flying high, unbeaten in their last five. Recent wins over Wolves and Manchester United highlight their resurgence. At home, they’re solid, scoring 1.22 and conceding just 0.89 per game. Burnley, in contrast, are winless in five, with four defeats. Their away form is abysmal: just two wins all season, conceding over two per game.

 

Expert Prediction

Leeds to win. Burnley’s away struggle is evident. Leeds' home form is strong, with a tight defense. Odds of 1.39 reflect confidence in a home victory. Pressure’s on Burnley, but Leeds have the edge. Expect a 2-0 win. Leeds' xG of 2.1 supports this prediction.

Match Stakes & Context

Leeds sit 15th with 40 points, fighting to avoid the drop. Their recent form shows resilience, unbeaten in five. Burnley, 19th with 20 points, stares at relegation. A 20-point gap to safety spells doom. Leeds need a win to guarantee survival. Burnley needs a miracle to escape the Championship.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
What are the odds for Leeds vs Burnley?
Leeds: 1.39, Draw: 4.45, Burnley: 7.80. Implied probabilities: Leeds 72%, Draw 22%, Burnley 13%. Leeds offers value given the model’s 67% win probability.
2
What is the correct score prediction for Leeds vs Burnley?
Model predicts 2-0. Leeds' xG of 2.1 supports this. Burnley's xG of 0.49 suggests scoring struggles.
3
What is the best bet for Leeds vs Burnley?
Best bet: Double Chance 1X at odds of 1.08. Model gives Leeds a 67% win probability, offering value over implied odds.
4
What is Burnley's away form this season?
Last 5 away: LLLLD. Two wins all season. Conceded 2.11 per away game. Scored 0.89 per away match.
5
Which players are key to watch in Leeds vs Burnley?
Leeds: E. Ampadu, 1 goal, 1 assist, 7.15 rating. Key in midfield battles. Burnley: M. Dúbravka, 7.00 rating. Crucial for keeping Leeds at bay.

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