🏆
Prediction
St. Truiden @ 1.95
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.62
46% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.53
49% probability
Over 1.5 @ 1.2
Considering St. Truiden's recent uptick in form and their higher scoring average at home, combined with Gent's inconsistencies in defense, this match is likely to see multiple goals. The model predicts a total of 2.64 expected goals, reinforcing the likelihood of at least two goals scored.
💡 St. Truiden's improvement in recent weeks, highlighted by a strong home defensive record, positions them as favorites against a Gent side struggling to find form.
As the Jupiler Pro League season approaches its climax, the clash between St. Truiden and Gent in the city venue becomes pivotal for both teams' aspirations. St. Truiden, currently third and vying for a UEFA Europa League qualification, have demonstrated resilience and consistency, particularly at home. Meanwhile, Gent, sitting in fifth and experiencing a decline, are desperate to secure a qualification playoff spot. This match not only impacts the standings but also tests each team's ability to perform under pressure as the season reaches its final stages.
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded1.1
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
โญ St. Truiden โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| A. Bertaccini | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 8.90 | 1 | 2 |
| L. Kokubo | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.27 | 37 | 0 |
| R. Ito | Midfielder | 10 | 5 | 7.27 | 34 | 100 |
| V. Musliu | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.10 | 27 | 4 |
| S. Taniguchi | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.10 | 37 | 10 |
โญ Gent โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Roef | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.24 | 37 | 3 |
| T. De Vlieger | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 21 | 10 |
| M. Skรณraล | Midfielder | 2 | 7 | 7.03 | 29 | 55 |
| M. Delorge-Knieper | Midfielder | 0 | 2 | 6.94 | 16 | 11 |
| D. Yokota | Attacker | 0 | 1 | 6.93 | 6 | 5 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.3
Double Chance X21.8
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Match Verdict
St. Truiden's recent form and tactical cohesion suggest they have the upper hand against Gent. With odds of 1.95 for a home win, the probability aligns with their current momentum and home advantage. Gent's declining form and away record make it challenging for them to secure a win. The expected goals model, predicting a 1-1 draw as the most likely score, supports a closely contested match. However, St. Truiden's consistent performances at home could tip the balance in their favor, making them the more probable victors.
Tactical Breakdown
Both teams employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, promising an intriguing tactical battle. St. Truiden relies heavily on the creativity of R. Ito, who has been instrumental with 10 goals and 5 assists this season. His ability to unlock defenses with key passes is crucial, especially against a Gent side that has struggled defensively away from home. Gent, on the other hand, will look to M. Skรณraล, whose 7 assists highlight his playmaking capabilities. The midfield battle will be pivotal, with St. Truiden's structured defense likely seeking to disrupt Gent's rhythm. St. Truiden's home advantage and recent form suggest they could control the midfield, limiting Gent's attacking threats.
Statistical Edge
St. Truiden boasts a solid home record, with an average of 1.44 goals scored per game and conceding only 1.22. Their ability to maintain clean sheets at home (6 this season) adds to their defensive prowess. In contrast, Gent's away form reveals vulnerabilities, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, highlighting defensive inconsistencies. St. Truiden's scoring is well-distributed across halves, scoring 29 in the first half and 26 in the second, showcasing their balanced attack. Gent's struggles, marked by a recent decline, are reflected in their inability to score in crucial moments, particularly away from home.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for St. Truiden vs Gent?
The
odds are St. Truiden 1.95, Draw 3.7, Gent 3.4. This implies probabilities of 51.28% for St. Truiden, 27.03% for a draw, and 29.41% for Gent. The model suggests value in St. Truiden's
odds, given the model probability of 42%.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for St. Truiden vs Gent?
The model's most likely
score is 1-1. However, considering St. Truiden's recent form and xG of 1.52, a 2-1
win for St. Truiden aligns with their home advantage.
3
What is the best
bet for St. Truiden vs Gent?
The best
bet is Over 1.5 goals at
odds of 1.2. The probability of over 1.5 goals is 74%, offering a value edge against the implied probability of 83.33%.
4
What is Gent's away form this season?
Gent's recent away form includes a loss to KV Mechelen (1-0), a draw with Union St. Gilloise (0-0), and a loss to Anderlecht (3-1). They have 5 away
wins, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per away match.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about St. Truiden vs Gent?
In the last 10 meetings, Gent has 4
wins, St. Truiden 3, and 3 draws. The average goals per
game is 2.5, with 40% of matches going over 2.5 goals. Recent matches show a balanced contest.