Best Bet: Türkiye vs Paraguay | World Cup | 20/06/2026

The clash between Türkiye and Paraguay in the World Cup may not have standings data to heighten its stakes, but there’s plenty to anticipate. Set in an undisclosed yet undoubtedly charged venue, Türkiye’s formidable home form, averaging 2.1 goals per game, contrasts sharply with Paraguay’s mixed results on the road. With Türkiye winning four of

15.06.2026 07:03
World Cup|20/06/2026
Türkiye
73%
VS
Paraguay
8%
73%
19%
8%
TürkiyeDraw 19%Paraguay
🏆
Prediction
Türkiye @ 2
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 2.1
57% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.85
46% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Türkiye Win @ 2
Türkiye's probability of victory stands at 73%, offering a value edge against the implied probability from the odds. Their robust home form, winning seven of their last nine home matches with an average of two goals scored per game, underscores their dominance. Paraguay's away struggles, managing only three wins in their last 13 away fixtures, further bolster the confidence in a home win.
💡 Türkiye has an impressive home record, with seven wins from their last nine matches. This is a significant indicator of their solid form when playing on home soil, contrasting with Paraguay's inconsistent away performances.
Final Result
Türkiye 0 : 1 Paraguay
Our prediction: 1 ✗

The clash between Türkiye and Paraguay in the World Cup may not have standings data to heighten its stakes, but there's plenty to anticipate. Set in an undisclosed yet undoubtedly charged venue, Türkiye's formidable home form, averaging 2.1 goals per game, contrasts sharply with Paraguay's mixed results on the road. With Türkiye winning four of their last five matches, including a commanding 4-0 victory over FYR Macedonia, this fixture promises to deliver an intriguing battle.

📊 Team Statistics
Türkiye
LWWWW
2
Draws
4
Losses
Avg Scored2.1
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets7
Failed to Score4
Home7W 1D 1L
Away7W 1D 3L
Paraguay
LWLWW
6
Draws
5
Losses
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1
Over 2.550%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets9
Failed to Score5
Home6W 1D 0L
Away3W 5D 5L
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.25
Double Chance X21.77
Double Chance 121.28
Over 1.5 Goals1.38
Under 1.5 Goals3

Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus

Türkiye's recent form is impressive, with four consecutive wins before a slip against Australia. Their victories have been decisive, such as a 4-0 triumph over FYR Macedonia at home. In contrast, Paraguay's form is less consistent, with recent losses to the USA and Morocco away. However, they did secure a commanding 4-0 win against Nicaragua at home. Türkiye's attacking prowess, highlighted by an average of 7.4 shots on target in recent matches, suggests they enter this match with more confidence.

 

Prediction: What the Environment Suggests

Türkiye's solid home record, combined with Paraguay's inconsistent away performances, suggests that home advantage will play a significant role. With Türkiye's win probability at 73% and priced at odds of 2.00, this presents a strong value proposition. The form data aligns with the statistical model, making a Türkiye win the most compelling choice. Given the disparity in home and away form, the Double Chance market lacks the same value edge.

The Home Factor: How Much Does It Matter Here?

Türkiye's remarkable home record, with seven victories from nine encounters, highlights their strength when playing on their own turf. They manage to score an average of two goals per home match while conceding just one. This contrasts with Paraguay's away form, which sees them securing only three wins in 13 matches, scoring and conceding an average of one and 1.38 goals per game respectively. These statistics suggest that home advantage could be a decisive factor, favouring Türkiye significantly.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
Who will win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Türkiye is predicted to win with a 73% probability. Their impressive home form, averaging 2.1 goals per game, coupled with Paraguay's struggles on the road, where they concede an average of 1.38 goals per match, makes them the favourites.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The expected goals total of 2.88 and a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals suggest a high-scoring encounter. Priced at odds of 2.10, backing over 2.5 goals is a viable option, considering Türkiye's average of 2.1 goals scored per game.
3
What is Paraguay's away form this season?
Paraguay's recent away form is mixed, with a heavy 4-1 defeat to the USA and a narrow 2-1 loss to Morocco. They did secure a notable 1-0 victory against Greece but generally struggle, averaging one goal scored per away match.
4
What is the Draw No Bet option for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The Draw No Bet option for Türkiye is priced at 1.40, while for Paraguay it is at 2.60. Given Türkiye's strong home form and Paraguay's away inconsistencies, the Türkiye DNB offers a safer alternative to the outright win.
5
Are there injury concerns for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
No significant injuries or suspensions have been reported for either team, allowing both squads to field their strongest line-ups. This lack of absences should not affect the match's expected dynamics.

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