Ligue 1|11/09/2026
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.57
58% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.5
51% probability
46%Model accuracy (last 60 days) โ 117/256
The model gives Rennes a 62% chance of victory, which is significantly higher than the implied probability at
odds of 2.30, suggesting value. Rennes have a particularly strong home record, scoring an average of 1.69 goals while conceding 1.46. Conversely, Marseille's away form is poor, having lost five of their last seven matches on the road, scoring only 0.43 goals per away
game.
💡 Rennes' ability to
score frequently at home, with 90% of their last 20 matches seeing over 2.5 goals, hints at a potentially high-scoring affair, especially against a Marseille side struggling defensively away.
Rennes 1 : 0 Marseille
Our prediction: 1 โ
Rennes will host Marseille at Roazhon Park, a clash where both sides have much to prove early in the Ligue 1 season. Rennes currently stand sixth with four points, showing early promise with a win and a draw. This match presents an opportunity to solidify their position against a Marseille side with no standings data available yet. Rennes' home form is robust, averaging 1.69 goals scored, which could be pivotal against Marseille's shaky away performances. The home side's recent matches have often seen goals, with a striking 90% of games ending over 2.5 goals, suggesting this encounter might follow a similar pattern.
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.7
Over 2.590%
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.45
Over 2.565%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets4
๐๏ธVenue
Roazhon Park, Rennes
31,127 capacity ยท Grass
๐ Additional Markets
Over 1.5 Goals1.17
Under 1.5 Goals5
Prediction
Verdict: Full Picture
Team Statistics
Season Statistics in Context
Predictions
The Availability Factor
Keybattle
How the Match Is Likely to Unfold
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Rennes vs Marseille?
The
odds are priced at 2.30 for Rennes to
win, 3.60 for a draw, and 2.62 for Marseille to
win. Rennes'
odds imply a 43.48% chance, but the model gives them a 62% probability, indicating value in a Rennes
win.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Rennes vs Marseille?
The model predicts a 1-0
win for Rennes as the most likely outcome, based on their xG of 1.78 compared to Marseille's 0.41, highlighting Rennes' stronger attacking threat at home.
3
What is Rennes's recent form?
Rennes' recent form includes a
win and a draw: they beat Le Mans 3-2 and drew 2-2 with Paris Saint Germain. At home, they've won seven of their last 13 matches, scoring an average of 1.69 goals.
4
What is Marseille's away form this season?
In their last five away matches, Marseille have won once, lost four times, and scored an average of 0.43 goals per
game, conceding 1.57. Their away form remains a concern.
5
Are there injury concerns for Rennes vs Marseille?
There are no reported injuries or suspensions for either
team, allowing both sides to field their best available line-ups for this match. This full-strength availability is advantageous for tactical flexibility.