In the town of Radom, two teams find themselves at a crossroads in the Ekstraklasa. Radomiak Radom, currently languishing at 14th with a measly eight points, host Motor Lublin, a team whose form is as mysterious as the Bermuda Triangle with no current standings data available. For Radomiak Radom, the stakes are clear: a victory
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin — Prediction | Ekstraklasa | 12/10/2026
07.10.2026
07:01
Radomiak Radom
52%
VS
Motor Lublin
24%
Prediction
Radomiak Radom @ 2.4
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
67% probability
44%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 114/259
★ BEST BET
Radomiak Radom Win @ 2.4
Radomiak Radom is favoured with a 52% model probability against Motor Lublin's 24%, creating value at odds of 2.40. Their home form shows promise, scoring an average of 1.62 goals per game. Meanwhile, Motor Lublin's away record is shaky, with only one win in eight matches, conceding an average of 2.13 goals. The statistics suggest Radomiak Radom's home advantage is significant.
💡 Radomiak Radom has scored 27 goals in their last 20 matches, averaging 1.35 goals per game, but they concede at a rate of 2.05, signalling that while they can find the net, defensive frailties persist.
In the town of Radom, two teams find themselves at a crossroads in the Ekstraklasa. Radomiak Radom, currently languishing at 14th with a measly eight points, host Motor Lublin, a team whose form is as mysterious as the Bermuda Triangle with no current standings data available. For Radomiak Radom, the stakes are clear: a victory could see them claw their way out of the relegation quagmire. Motor Lublin, having been the thorn in Radomiak's side in past encounters, need to rediscover their winning ways to avoid becoming a footnote in this season's narrative. With an expected goal tally of 3.69, this match promises goals, drama, and perhaps, a few unexpected twists.
Team Statistics
Form Under Pressure
Form Under Pressure
Expert Prediction
Expert Prediction
What Is At Stake: The Full Picture
What Is At Stake: The Full Picture
How the Match Is Likely to Unfold
How the Match Is Likely to Unfold
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the odds for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom is priced at odds of 2.40, the draw at odds of 3.30, and Motor Lublin at odds of 2.62. This translates to implied probabilities of approximately 41.67% for Radomiak Radom, 30.30% for the draw, and 38.17% for Motor Lublin. With a model probability of 52% for Radomiak, there is clear value in backing the home team.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
The xG model predicts a total of 3.69 goals, and both teams have a history of high-scoring matches. With 67% of Radomiak's games going over 2.5 goals, the odds of 1.44 for Over 2.5 goals suggest a high likelihood of a profitable outcome. Yes, expect goals.
3
What is Radomiak Radom's recent form?
Radomiak Radom's recent form shows a winless streak with one draw and four losses, scoring and conceding heavily: 7-2 win vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and a 5-1 loss to Lech Poznan highlight their volatility. At home, they have won four of 13, averaging 1.62 goals and managing one clean sheet, indicating a stable, if unspectacular, home presence.
4
5
Which players are key to watch in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
While individual players are not highlighted, Radomiak's scoring ability at home, averaging 1.62 goals per game, is notable. Motor Lublin, meanwhile, is more erratic, yet capable of explosive performances, as seen in their 3-0 home victory against Legia Warszawa. Radomiak's more consistent scoring threat suggests they create better chances.
6
Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Double Chance 1X is priced at odds of 1.40. This suggests a combined probability of 71.43%, which aligns well with the model's 52% for Radomiak and 24% for a draw, totalling 76%. The 1X market provides a safer hedge against a potential Motor Lublin upset.
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