Liga Profesional Argentina|19/10/2026
Newells Old BoysDraw 24%Central Cordoba de Santiago
🏆
Prediction
Newells Old Boys @ 2
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.4
33% probability
44%Model accuracy (last 60 days) โ 113/258
Newells Old Boys have a 63% probability of
winning, offering value against the implied 50%. Their home defence averages just 0.7 goals conceded per match, and Central Cordoba de Santiago struggle away, scoring only 0.6 goals per
game. These stats make the home
win a strong choice.
💡 Newells Old Boys have kept five clean sheets at home this season, highlighting their defensive strength, especially against a side like Central Cordoba de Santiago, who average just 0.6 goals per away match.
As Newells Old Boys prepare to host Central Cordoba de Santiago, they find themselves in a pivotal moment of their campaign. Both clubs are neck and neck in the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, with Newells Old Boys sitting 14th on 15 points, just one point shy of 13th-placed Central Cordoba de Santiago. This match in Rosario is more than just a battle for mid-table supremacy; it's a critical opportunity for Newells Old Boys to capitalise on their solid home form, where they have lost just once in ten matches. Central Cordoba, on the other hand, arrive with a less flattering away record, managing only one win in their last ten away fixtures. With both teams struggling to find consistent form, the stakes are high as they seek to distance themselves from the lower end of the table.
Avg Scored1
Avg Conceded1.05
Over 2.530%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets7

Central Cordoba de Santiago
DDDLL
Avg Scored0.9
Avg Conceded1.55
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets4
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.22
Double Chance X21.75
Double Chance 121.35
Over 1.5 Goals1.44
Under 1.5 Goals2.62
Prediction
The prediction is for Newells Old Boys to win, with a 63% probability and at odds of 2.00. Newells' home defensive record is strong, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per match, which is crucial against a Central Cordoba side that scores just 0.6 goals per away game. Additionally, Newells' recent form shows resilience, with only one loss in their last ten home games. The model probability of 63% against implied odds of 50% presents a value opportunity. If looking for a safer bet, the 'Under 3.5 goals' market could also be appealing given the expected tightness of the match. The main risk is Newells' occasional struggle to convert draws into wins, but their home form provides confidence.
Predictions
The encounter between Newells Old Boys and Central Cordoba de Santiago is a clash of two teams in close proximity on the league table, with Newells Old Boys in 14th place, trailing Central Cordoba by a single point. For Newells, a win could propel them above their opponents and provide some breathing space from the relegation zone. Central Cordoba, looking to halt a decline marked by recent draws and losses, aim to solidify their mid-table status. Both teams have shown inconsistency, with Newells Old Boys recently managing to secure points through draws, while Central Cordoba have struggled with a winless streak. This match presents an opportunity for either side to gain momentum and climb the standings.
Team Statistics
Newells Old Boys boast a home xG of 1.51, which suggests they can create quality chances, while Central Cordoba's away xG stands at a modest 0.34, indicating potential struggles in attack. Newells have averaged 3 shots on target in their last five matches, underpinning their offensive capabilities. With a clean sheet rate of 50% at home, Newells demonstrate defensive solidity. Central Cordoba, conversely, have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per away game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The BTTS percentage for Newells is 45%, reflecting occasional defensive lapses at home, while Central Cordoba's figure is slightly higher at 50%. Over 2.5 goals occur in 30% of their head-to-head clashes, suggesting a tight encounter may be on the cards.
Risks
Central Cordoba de Santiago's potential to disrupt the prediction lies in their ability to snatch draws, as evidenced by their recent streak of three consecutive draws. While their attacking prowess away from home is limited, they have managed to keep games close, as seen in their ability to hold teams like Talleres Cordoba to a goalless draw. Newells Old Boys, despite their strong home record, have shown vulnerability in failing to score in four home matches this season, which could be a concern if Central Cordoba manage to score first. The scenario where Central Cordoba capitalises on an early defensive error and then sets up a solid defensive block is plausible. However, given Newells Old Boys' superior home form and Central Cordoba's away struggles, the recommended bet on a home win still holds value, though a Double Chance bet covering a draw might appeal to those seeking to hedge against the risk of a stalemate.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Newells Old Boys are predicted to
win with a 63% probability. Their home defensive record is strong, conceding just 0.7 goals per match, and they face a Central Cordoba side that scores only 0.6 goals per away
game. This defensive edge makes them favourites.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
It's unlikely there will be over 2.5 goals, as the combined xG is only 1.85 and historical matches between these sides have a 30% over 2.5 rate. With
odds of 2.40 for over 2.5, the data suggests a low-scoring encounter.
3
Will both
teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Both
teams are not likely to
score, with BTTS percentages at 45% for Newells and 50% for Central Cordoba. The
odds for BTTS Yes are 2.10, but Newells' strong clean sheet record at home suggests Central Cordoba might struggle to
score.
4
Which players are key to watch in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Newells Old Boys rely on collective attacking strength, creating 1.51 xG at home. Central Cordoba's attack is less potent, with an away xG of just 0.34. Newells' ability to create and convert chances at home will be crucial.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
The Double Chance 1X at
odds of 1.22 is appealing due to Newells Old Boys' strong home form. With a 63%
win probability and only one home loss, the combined chance of a
win or draw is high, making this a safe option.