As Piast Gliwice welcome Cracovia Krakow to the city, both teams are set to clash in a crucial Ekstraklasa encounter. Piast Gliwice, currently eighth with 17 points, aim to close in on the top spots. Cracovia Krakow, sitting at tenth with 12 points, need a win to move up the table. Piast’s superior home form,
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow — Analysis and Odds | Ekstraklasa | 24/10/2026
19.10.2026
07:04
Piast Gliwice
59%
VS
Cracovia Krakow
15%
Prediction
Piast Gliwice @ 2.5
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.69
50% probability
46%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 116/254
★ BEST BET
Piast Gliwice Win @ 2.5
Piast Gliwice are given a 59% winning probability, yet they are priced at odds of 2.50, providing value against the implied 40% probability. Their home form is solid, averaging 1.82 goals per game, and they are unbeaten in their last two matches. Cracovia Krakow struggle away, failing to win any of their last seven away fixtures.
💡 Piast Gliwice's home goal average of 1.82 is significant, suggesting a potent attack that could exploit Cracovia Krakow's weak away defence, which concedes 1.71 goals on average.
As Piast Gliwice welcome Cracovia Krakow to the city, both teams are set to clash in a crucial Ekstraklasa encounter. Piast Gliwice, currently eighth with 17 points, aim to close in on the top spots. Cracovia Krakow, sitting at tenth with 12 points, need a win to move up the table. Piast's superior home form, with an average of 1.82 goals per game, makes them favourites. The predicted outcome is a Piast victory, bolstered by their consistent scoring at home.
Team Statistics
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.5
Double Chance X21.5
Double Chance 121.29
Over 1.5 Goals1.17
Under 1.5 Goals4
The Verdict
Piast Gliwice are expected to win with a 59% probability, priced at odds of 2.50. This prediction is supported by their strong home scoring average of 1.82 goals per game and Cracovia's poor away form, having failed to win in their last seven away matches. The model gives Piast a 59% win probability against the implied 40% from the odds, indicating value. If seeking safety, consider the Double Chance market at odds of 1.50 for Piast or draw. The main risk is Piast's recent inconsistency at home defensively, having conceded in most matches.
The Match in Context
Piast Gliwice, ranked eighth, have accumulated 17 points and are looking to push into the upper echelon of the Ekstraklasa. A win could significantly enhance their position. Meanwhile, Cracovia Krakow are in tenth with 12 points and desperately need a victory to avoid slipping further. Piast's recent form suggests stability, with a draw and a win in their last two games, whereas Cracovia's form is declining with three losses in the last five.
Key Statistics
Piast Gliwice's xG at home stands at 2.47, indicating a strong attacking potential, while Cracovia Krakow's away xG is just 1.21. Piast have kept a clean sheet in only 1 of their last 11 home matches, suggesting vulnerability. They score an average of 1.82 goals at home, which suggests strong offensive output. Cracovia concedes 1.71 goals on average when away, highlighting defensive frailties. The BTTS rate is 45% for Piast and 65% for Cracovia, suggesting both teams often find the net. Over 2.5 goals occur in 50% of their matches, indicating a propensity for high-scoring games.
Risk Scenarios: The Case Against
Despite the confidence in Piast Gliwice's victory, several risks could derail this prediction. Piast's defensive record at home is concerning, with an average of 1.73 goals conceded. This defensive lapse could be exploited by Cracovia's attack, which scores 1.14 goals per away game. Additionally, Cracovia's ability to draw, as seen in their three away matches this season, cannot be overlooked. The upset scenario could unfold if Piast fails to capitalise on their chances and Cracovia manages to score first. Given these risks, considering the Double Chance market at odds of 1.50 might be a prudent strategy, offering a safety net against a potential draw.
Frequently Asked Questions
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Which players are key to watch in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?
Piast Gliwice's attack, averaging 1.82 goals at home, is their main strength, while Cracovia Krakow's away attack averages 1.14 goals. Piast creates better chances, reflected in their superior xG of 2.47 at home.
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