World Cup|13/06/2026
🏆
Prediction
Switzerland @ 1.22
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.65
32% probability
🔁
NO @ 2.25
35% probability
Switzerland's probability of
winning stands at 38%, with the model highlighting a 3% value edge over the implied probability from the
odds. Their away form, averaging 1.4 goals per match, complements Qatar's home defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.15 goals. With Qatar struggling to
score, managing just 0.92 goals per home
game, Switzerland's disciplined defence, averaging 1.1 goals conceded away, reinforces the case for an away victory.
💡 Qatar's inability to consistently find the net at home is underscored by their failure to
score in 10 out of their last 20 matches. This reveals a significant attacking frailty that could be exploited by Switzerland's organised defence.
Qatar 1 : 1 Switzerland
Our prediction: 2 โ
In a clash that sees Qatar hosting Switzerland, the stakes are defined not only by the pride of performing on a world stage but also by the statistical narrative. Despite playing at home, Qatar's recent form raises questions. Their attack has been tepid, averaging only 0.92 goals per home match. Meanwhile, Switzerland arrives with a more potent offence, scoring 1.4 goals on average in their away fixtures. Historically, Qatar's defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.15 goals per home game. These figures suggest a challenging contest for the hosts, as Switzerland's tactical discipline and attacking prowess could prove decisive.
Avg Scored0.8
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.545%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.555%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets6
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X4
Double Chance X21.03
Double Chance 121.12
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Match-Up Analysis & Verdict
The match-up between Qatar and Switzerland presents a clear contrast in tactical approaches. Qatar's defensive setup will be tested by Switzerland's possession-heavy style. Switzerland's superior away scoring record, averaging 1.4 goals, suggests they can exploit Qatar's defensive frailties, which concede 1.15 goals at home. The model gives Switzerland a 38% chance of winning, a figure that finds value against the implied odds of 1.22. Given Qatar's struggle to score, a Switzerland victory appears likely. The best value bet is Switzerland to win, priced at 1.22, offering a modest but reliable return.
Profile: Qatar
Qatar's journey this season has been marked by inconsistency, with their overall record reflecting three wins, eight draws, and nine losses from their last 20 matches. Playing at home, they have secured three wins, while also drawing and losing five matches each. This pattern highlights a struggle to dominate on their turf, as evidenced by their average of 0.92 goals scored per home game. In their recent outings, they've managed three draws against El Salvador, Sudan, and Argentina, but succumbed to a 1-0 defeat away to the Republic of Ireland. Qatar's tactical approach has been cautious, with limited possession averaging 32%, and a reliance on counter-attacks. With no significant injuries reported, their main strength lies in their ability to occasionally surprise with defensive resilience.
Profile: Switzerland
Switzerland's narrative this season reveals a team in transition, with an overall record of eight wins, seven draws, and five losses. Their away form has been solid, achieving three wins, four draws, and three losses, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match while conceding 1.1. Recently, they drew 1-1 with Australia and Kosovo, won convincingly 4-1 against Jordan, but were held goalless by Norway. Switzerland's tactical identity on the road is possession-focused, maintaining an average of 61% possession and leveraging their midfield control to create opportunities. With a fully fit squad, their biggest threat to Qatar is their ability to control the tempo and exploit defensive lapses, though their vulnerability lies in occasional defensive lapses.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Qatar vs Switzerland?
The
odds for Qatar to
win are 14.5, for a draw are 5.5, and for Switzerland to
win are 1.22. These translate to implied probabilities of 6.9%, 18.2%, and 82.0% respectively. The model sees value in Switzerland's
odds, with a 3% edge over the implied probability.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Qatar vs Switzerland?
The model's most likely
score is 0-1 to Switzerland. This aligns with the expected goals values, with Qatar's xG at 0.84 and Switzerland's at 1.03, suggesting a narrow but decisive away victory.
3
What is the best
bet for Qatar vs Switzerland?
The best value
bet is Switzerland to
win at
odds of 1.22. This
bet offers a value edge as the model probability of 38% exceeds the implied
odds probability of 82.0%.
4
What is Switzerland's away form this season?
Switzerland's recent away form includes a 0-0 draw with Norway, a 1-1 draw with Kosovo, and a 4-1
win against Jordan. They average 1.4 goals scored per away match, underscoring their attacking efficacy on the road.
5
Are there injury concerns for Qatar vs Switzerland?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This ensures both
teams can field their strongest line-ups, which could impact the tactical dynamics of the match.